Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Buffalo Bills Same Game Parlay Picks for Thursday Night Football
by Ryan Metivier in NFL Football
Updated Oct 26, 2023 · 12:02 PM PDT
Oct 22, 2023; Foxborough, Massachusetts, USA; Buffalo Bills tight end Dalton Kincaid (86) runs against the New England Patriots during the first half at Gillette Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Brian Fluharty-USA TODAY SportsWe’ve created a three-leg same game parlay for TNF with three different receiving propsCan Dalton Kincaid step up with Dawson Knox out injured?Read on for our Buccaneers vs Bills same game parlay picks below for this week’s Thursday Night Football game
The Bills may be heavily favored to win on TNF, but they’re also 1-2 in their past three games and have looked off in recent weeks. So let’s instead go receiver heavy for tonight’s Buccaneers vs Bills same game parlay and simply target Dalton Kincaid, Stefon Diggs and Mike Evans for tonight’s TNF SGP.
Want to know more about how to bet NFL same game parlays? Click the link here to learn more about how to create yours and read on for our TNF SGP picks here.
Buccaneers vs Bills Same Game Parlay Picks
SGP Picks | Odds |
---|---|
Dalton Kincaid over 3.5 receptions | -166 |
Stefon Diggs 50+ receiving yards | -580 |
Mike Evans 40+ receiving yards | -260 |
SGP PARLAY ODDS | +173 |
Our Bucs vs Bills SGP has three legs, with all receiving props from Dalton Kincaid, Stefon Diggs and Mike Evans and comes out to +173 odds.
Odds as of October 26 at FanDuel Sportsbook. Be sure to claim one of the top football betting promo codes to bet on this Buccaneers vs Bills same game parlay for Thursday Night Football.
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Bucs vs Bills SGP Picks: Dalton Kincaid Receptions
With Dawson Knox out of the lineup needing wrist surgery, rookie TE Dalton Kincaid gets the spotlight all on him at the tight end position.
Last week Knox had just one catch before Kincaid took over and caught 8/8 passes for 75 yards.
But even with Knox in the lineup, Kincaid had made four or more catches 3/5 games prior.
The two had been splitting the catches to start the season but let’s look at the combined catches between the two in previous games. Those numbers look like this: 7 catches in Week 1, then 8, 3, 5, 5, 3 and then 9 last week. So that’s at least five catches at the tight end position in 5/7 weeks.
With Kincaid seeing all the action in Week 8, we’ll include him in our TNF SGP picks to go over 3.5 catches at -166 in the Bucs vs Bills odds.
Buccaneers vs Bills same game parlay Picks: Dalton Kincaid over 3.5 receptions
The #Bills will be without tight end Dawson Knox this week leaving rookie Dalton Kincaid as the TE1.
Though the Bills lost, Kincaid had his best performance of the season against the Patriots finishing with 8 receptions for 75 yards.
How do you think Kincaid will play tonight… pic.twitter.com/tkuqynbNmb
— Built in Buffalo (@BuiltInBuffalo_) October 26, 2023
Bucs vs Bills SGP Picks: Stefon Diggs Receiving Yards
The Bucs are much stornger versus the run, 10th, than the pass, 27th. So If Buffalo is looking for an area of the field to attack it will surely be through the air.
And who other to look to than Stefon Diggs who has seen the second-most pass targets of any wide receiver this season with 78.
Diggs has seen double-digit targets each of the past three weeks and in 5/7 overall. Last week was the first time Diggs fell under 60 yards receiving finishing with 58 yards. But in weeks prior he finished with 100, 121, 120, 111, 66 and 102. In reality taking him in our Buccaneers vs Bills same game parlay picks to finish with 50+ receiving yards is probably too low, but does look safe.
Buccaneers vs Bills same game parlay Picks: Stefon Diggs 50+ receiving yards Bet365 Sign up Bonus for NFL Week 8, World Series, NBA: Bet $5, Get $150Read More
BAKER 🚀 MIKE EVANS pic.twitter.com/GCcR9SSNU4
— PFF (@PFF) October 22, 2023
Bucs vs Bills SGP Picks: Mike Evans Receiving Yards
The Bucs’ top receiver is Mike Evans who leads the team with 468 receiving yards. He’s tied in targets (49) with Chris Godwin, while Godwin leads in receptions (33-30), but Evens leads in the TD category 4-0. Godwin is listed as questionable in the Buccaneers vs Bills injury report, so let’s focus our attention on Evans.
While attacking the Bills on the ground may make more sense, as Buffalo ranks 23rd versus the run and 10th versus the pass, the Bucs don’t run the ball much, only rushing the 12th fewest times per game, for the fourth-fewest yards per game, 77.8.
Last week Mac Jones, who’s been awful this season found all sorts of success throwing on Buffalo. Jones went 25/30 for 272 yards and two touchdowns. The Pats don’t have any star receivers, but three receivers each had four or more catches and four had over 50 yards receiving.
Evans and co. should also be able to put up some stats and make good options when you’re looking for Tampa Bay vs Buffalo props to include in an SGP.
Outside of a game against Chicago, Evans hasn’t really exploded in any other game this season. But he has made four or more catches in 5/6 games, finished with 40+ yards in 6/6 games and 60+ yards in 4/6 games.
Buccaneers vs Bills same game parlay Picks: Mike Evans 40+ receiving yards2023 SGP Record: 3-6; -1.63 units
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