Monday Night Football: Picks for Chargers vs. Raiders

Monday Night Football: Picks for Chargers vs. Raiders (Week 4 2021)

Odds, predictions, trends, and news for the 2021 Week 4 Monday Night Football matchup between the Los Angeles Chargers and Las Vegas Raiders.

October 4, 2021 – by Jason Lisk

Will the Chargers move into first in the AFC West? (Scott Winters/Icon Sportswire)

The Los Angeles Chargers and Las Vegas Raiders face off in a key early AFC West matchup on Monday Night Football to wrap up Week 4 of the 2021 NFL season.

The Raiders are a surprise 3-0, while the Chargers are 2-1 after a road win at Kansas City. The Raiders are the only remaining undefeated team in the AFC after the Denver Broncos’ loss to the Baltimore Ravens on Sunday.

Both quarterbacks should feature prominently Monday. Derek Carr was the NFL’s leader in passing yards (1.203) entering Week 4, while Justin Herbert is also averaging more than 300 passing yards per game.

Monday Night Football Betting Details

Point Spread: Los Angeles Chargers (-3.0) vs. Las Vegas (Opened at -3)

Over/Under: 51.5 points (Opened at 52.5)

Moneyline: Los Angeles -169; Las Vegas +140

Key Injuries: Las Vegas RB Josh Jacobs, who has missed the last two games, is expected to play; Chargers LB Kenneth Murray is out, and QB Justin Herbert is still listed as questionable with a hand injury suffered in the win over Kansas City (full injury report)

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Monday Night Football Picks and Predictions

Here are our top picks for the game:

Raiders/Chargers UNDER 51.5 Points

Our Decision Tree Model gives this one a 55% chance of going under the total.

Justin Herbert UNDER 302.5 Passing Yards (-115)

Justin Herbert UNDER 27.5 Completions (-125)

The Justin Herbert passing props are a bit high for this one, so we’ll take the under on both yards and completions. In similar games in the last five years (based on spread and point total) the median passing yards for the favorite like the Chargers was 274, and the median completions was 23.5.

Heading into Week 4, the Raiders ranked seventh in opponent yards per pass attempt. However, they were 29th in yards per rushing attempt allowed.

We expect the Chargers to attack the Raiders on the ground, which could cut back on Herbert’s passing volume.

BetIQ NFL Predictions: Point Spread | Over/Under | Moneyline Value

Chargers & Raiders Betting Trends

California Dreaming: Since 2002, the home team in the Raiders/Chargers series is only 18-20 SU and 13-25 ATS.Raiders in the Dog Role: Over the last two seasons, the Raiders are 5-6 SU and 7-4 ATS as an underdog, including two outright wins this year. Those games have gone over 8-2-1.Raiders Overs: The Raiders have gone over in 14 of their last 19 games played, with one push.

Sportsbook Promos

Here are some promotions available at various sportsbooks for Monday Night Football Week 4:

BetMGM

Risk Free Bet up to $25 on the first TD scorer of the game

Caesars

Caesars Sportsbook Links: CO | IN | IA | MI | NJ | TN | VA | WV

Bet on 1st TD scorer – if bet loses, get a Free Bet equal to stake up to $25 to use on live in-play.

DraftKings

Place a same game parlay and if your bet loses, get credited back up to $25.

FanDuel

The FanDuel offer below is for for new users only.

Place a 3+ Leg same game parlay wager with cash on any “Week 4” NFL game taking place from 9/30 – 10/4 and if your bet loses, get a refund in site credit. Max refund $10.

PointsBet

Justin Herbert and Jalen Hurts props boosts (see PointsBet for full details)